Reaction to Brexit

The 451 Alliance Weighs in on the UK’s Exit from the EU

About This Report

Reaction to Brexit

In July 2016, the 451 Alliance conducted a survey to look at the reactions following the UK’s decision to exit the European Union. This included its impact to organisations, business, decision-making and outsourcing plans.

The Referendum Result:

On June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom held a referendum vote to decide if it should remain in the European Union or begin the process of exiting.
Over 30 million citizens cast their ballots, and the results were close – 52% voted to leave and 48% to stay.

  • Remain
  • Leave

The 451 Alliance Report

Shortly after the referendum was passed, the 451 Alliance surveyed IT professionals to determine how this decision might impact business and IT spending plans.

HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE SURVEY FOUND:

  • Negative business impact on EU
  • Positive business impact on EU

  • A strong majority of respondents (83%) expect the Brexit vote to have a negative business impact on the EU; only 17% see it having a positive impact.

  • No change in spending plans
  • Too early to say

  • So far the vote is having little effect on IT spending decisions – 60% of respondents say there is no change in spending plans and 33% believe it’s too early to say.

  • However, 78% of European respondents (not in the UK) say they are now less likely to outsource their IT infrastructure to a UK-based service provider.

Less likely to outsource IT to UK

In a recent 451 Research report, Andrew Lawrence, Research Vice President for Datacenter Technologies (DCT) & Eco-Efficient IT, noted that:

While the UK accounts for only about 4% of global GDP, it does impact a far greater proportion of the worldwide technology industry. According to the TechNation Report 2016, there are 1.56 million people employed by ‘digital companies’ in the UK.

Business Impact of Brexit – Survey Results

Reaction to Brexit

By Tracy Corbo

Overall, the majority of respondents view the UK’s exit from the EU as having a negative business impact – with the EU being the hardest hit by the decision.

We asked respondents what they think the business impact of Brexit will be on the UK, the EU and the Global Economy – 83% see the brunt of the impact falling on the EU. The negative business impact on the UK (62%) and the Global Economy (60%) – while significant – is still expected to be less than on the EU.

Only 17% see Brexit as having a positive business impact for the EU, while 40% see it as a positive for the Global Economy and 38% for the UK.

Business Impact of Brexit

Overall, what do you think the business impact of Brexit will be on the following?

Business Impact by Geography

A closer look at the business impact by region further reinforces the strong geographic divide between UK respondents and other European countries.

Impact on the European Union

A large majority of respondents from the UK (90%) and North America (83%) see Brexit as having a negative business impact on the EU, along with three-quarters (75%) of respondents from Europe (not including the UK).

Only 10% of UK respondents see the business impact as positive for the EU, as do 17% from North America. One-quarter (25%) of European respondents (not in the UK) are optimistic that Brexit will have a positive impact.

Overall, what do you think the business impact of Brexit will be on the European Union?

Impact on the United Kingdom

While 67% of UK respondents see Brexit as having a negative business impact on the United Kingdom, 98% of European respondents (not from the UK) see this decision as negative.

Overall, what do you think the business impact of Brexit will be on the United Kingdom?

The North American reaction is more evenly split, with 48% viewing it as negative and 52% as positive.

Impact on the Global Economy

We asked respondents what they think the business impact of Brexit will be on global economy – 77% of European respondents (not in the UK) say it will have a negative impact, as do 61% from the UK and 54% from North America.

In contrast, while 46% of respondents from North America and 39% from the UK see the impact as positive, only 23% of European respondents (not in the UK) view it positively.

Overall, what do you think the business impact of Brexit will be on the Global Economy?

This information is from 451 Research, and contains confidential business information.

It may not be copied or distributed without permission. ©2015 451 Research, LLC. All rights reserved.

Impact on IT Spending

Reaction to Brexit

We asked respondents if they think Brexit will impact their organizations’ IT spending – 60% say it will not change their spending plans. Another 33% believe it’s Too Early to Say. Just 5% say it will cause a spending increase, and 2% say decrease.

Impact on Outsourcing Plans

Some analysts think the Brexit vote could lead to data sovereignty issues for organizations with IT infrastructure in the UK, while others predict it will not be a problem.

To find out, we asked respondents if Brexit makes them more likely or less likely to outsource IT infrastructure to UK-based service providers.

Predictably, European respondents (not in the UK) had a strong reaction, with 78% saying they are less likely to use a UK-based service provider.

In contrast, only 28% of North American respondents, and even fewer UK respondents (14%), say they are less likely to do so.

Reaction to Brexit

Only 18% of UK and 15% of North American respondents say Brexit makes it more likely they will use a UK-based service provider. The majority of UK (69%) and North American (59%) respondents expect their use to remain the same.

This information is from 451 Research, and contains confidential business information.

It may not be copied or distributed without permission. ©2015 451 Research, LLC. All rights reserved.

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